Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.051032 0.055380 0.059779 0.064557 0.069592 0.074733 0.080373
2025-01-26 0.044083 0.050463 0.057147 0.064647 0.072801 0.081371 0.091034
2025-02-02 0.039060 0.046935 0.055447 0.065272 0.076238 0.088042 0.101649
2025-02-09 0.035536 0.044619 0.054715 0.066659 0.080293 0.095262 0.112835
2025-02-16 0.033459 0.043673 0.055307 0.069362 0.085709 0.103954 0.125688
2025-02-23 0.028993 0.039541 0.051885 0.067145 0.085254 0.105818 0.130691
2025-03-02 0.025948 0.036851 0.049929 0.066432 0.086363 0.109335 0.137485
2025-03-09 0.023449 0.034624 0.048348 0.066002 0.087669 0.112981 0.144361
2025-03-16 0.022460 0.034225 0.048948 0.068172 0.092065 0.120265 0.155535
2025-03-23 0.021165 0.033315 0.048815 0.069362 0.095219 0.126048 0.164938
2025-03-30 0.019870 0.032304 0.048469 0.070216 0.097910 0.131249 0.173649
2025-04-06 0.018279 0.030774 0.047350 0.069996 0.099196 0.134698 0.180224
2025-04-13 0.017240 0.029983 0.047204 0.071063 0.102171 0.140328 0.189615
2025-04-20 0.015723 0.028404 0.045914 0.070565 0.103110 0.143423 0.195918
2025-04-27 0.014624 0.027359 0.045294 0.070907 0.105100 0.147821 0.203845
2025-05-04 0.013925 0.026866 0.045401 0.072200 0.108313 0.153761 0.213713
2025-05-11 0.013733 0.027132 0.046579 0.074957 0.113471 0.162205 0.226772
2025-05-18 0.012039 0.024919 0.044089 0.072567 0.111735 0.161801 0.228676
2025-05-25 0.010944 0.023582 0.042804 0.071786 0.112093 0.164045 0.233901
2025-06-01 0.010021 0.022460 0.041777 0.071318 0.112830 0.166754 0.239706
2025-06-08 0.009851 0.022608 0.042667 0.073599 0.117331 0.174394 0.251867
2025-06-15 0.009442 0.022310 0.042852 0.074849 0.120417 0.180195 0.261697
2025-06-22 0.008979 0.021880 0.042806 0.075746 0.123010 0.185354 0.270723